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Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

AEK Athens

AEK Athens Rut Deepens: 2 Games Without Win.

Thu, Apr 9, 2026 16:45 (UTC)


Facts

Rayo Vallecano :
Isi Palazón 74' (Pen.)
Unai López 45' +2
Ilias Akhomach 2' (A. Garcia)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 7.14 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 42%
14%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Rayo Vallecano (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

AEK Athens (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 35%
15%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 62%
13%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Rayo Vallecano : 41% (▼ 1%)
18% (▲ 4%)
AEK Athens : 41% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Rayo Vallecano | 0.625 | 0.679 | ▲ 0.054
T | AEK Athens | 0.625 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.086
H | Rayo Vallecano | 0.750 | 0.782 | ▲ 0.032
A | AEK Athens | 0.750 | 0.711 | ▼ 0.039
P | Rayo Vallecano | 0.667 | 0.668 | ▲ 0.001
P | AEK Athens | 0.667 | 0.687 | ▲ 0.020
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.3 - 4.0
Rayo Vallecano : 47% (▲ 5%)
29% (▲ 15%)
AEK Athens : 24% (▼ 20%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 23%
AWAY : 37%

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