Nantes

3 - 0

Marseille

Nantes: 2 Straight Wins Over Marseille. Conversely, Marseille Away Woes Continue: 3rd Straight Loss.

Sat, May 2, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Nantes :
Matthis Abline 58'
Rémy Cabella 54'
Ignatius Kpene Ganago 50'
Marseille :
-
Nantes SURCLASSE l'OM et S'ACCROCHE au MAINTIEN | 32ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 10%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 5.88 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 29%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Nantes (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 32% actual win rate for identical index values.

Marseille (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 32%
21%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
17%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Nantes : 27% (▼ 2%)
21% (▲ 4%)
Marseille : 52% (▼ 2%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nantes | 0.129 | 0.294 | ▲ 0.165
T | Marseille | 0.516 | 0.616 | ▲ 0.100
H | Nantes | 0.133 | 0.318 | ▲ 0.185
A | Marseille | 0.400 | 0.485 | ▲ 0.085
P | Nantes | 0.000 | 0.258 | ▲ 0.258
P | Marseille | 0.333 | 0.457 | ▲ 0.124
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 4.6 - 4.1 - 1.7
Nantes : 21% (▼ 8%)
23% (▲ 6%)
Marseille : 56% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 30%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 30%
AWAY : 47%

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