Bournemouth

2 - 2

Leeds

Solid: Bournemouth haven't dropped all points in 14 outings. However, Leeds Road Warriors: 6-Match Unbeaten Streak.

Wed, Apr 22, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Bournemouth :
Rayan 85'
Eli Junior Kroupi 60'
Leeds :
Sean Longstaff 90' +7
James Hill 68' (OG)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 50%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 2.38 - 4.55)
HOMETEAM: 36%
42%
AWAYTEAM: 22%

Bournemouth (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.

Leeds (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 39%
38%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 36%
46%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bournemouth : 42% (▲ 6%)
32% (▼ 10%)
Leeds : 26% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Bournemouth | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
T | Leeds | 0.273 | 0.450 | ▲ 0.177
H | Bournemouth | 0.375 | 0.597 | ▲ 0.222
A | Leeds | 0.125 | 0.333 | ▲ 0.208
P | Bournemouth | 0.333 | 0.608 | ▲ 0.275
P | Leeds | 0.333 | 0.660 | ▲ 0.327
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.6 - 3.7
Bournemouth : 47% (▲ 11%)
27% (▼ 15%)
Leeds : 26% (▲ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 66%
D : 17%
AWAY : 17%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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