Sigma Olomouc

3 - 1

Pardubice

Resilient Sigma Olomouc: 4 matches, zero defeats. Conversely, FK Pardubice road woes intensify with a 3rd straight away loss.

Sun, Aug 23, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 20%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 3.70 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 52%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (60.00)
Intensity: [Moderate] (40.00)

Sigma Olomouc (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Pardubice (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Sigma Olomouc:
T : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)
P : 0.500 (0.550 / ▼0.050)

Pardubice:
T : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)
P : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
19%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 15 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
27%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Sigma Olomouc : 51% (▼ 1%)
25% (▼ 2%)
Pardubice : 24% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Sigma Olomouc : 46% (▼ 6%)
23% (▼ 4%)
Pardubice : 31% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.6 - 3.7
Sigma Olomouc : 49% (▼ 3%)
26% (▼ 1%)
Pardubice : 25% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 60%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 38%
D : 43%
AWAY : 19%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 33%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


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