Everton

1 - 2

Liverpool

Everton’s struggle continues: 3 straight losses to Liverpool. However, Liverpool seals their 2nd win on the bounce.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Everton :
Beto 54'
Liverpool :
Virgil van Dijk 90' +10
Mohamed Salah 29'
Extended Highlights: Everton 1-2 Liverpool | 90+10 in the derby!
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 20%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 4.55 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 36%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Everton (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
18%
AWAY : 39%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
19%
Underdog : 38%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Everton : 42% (▲ 6%)
24% (▲ 2%)
Liverpool : 34% (▼ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Everton | 0.406 | 0.517 | ▲ 0.111
T | Liverpool | 0.469 | 0.569 | ▲ 0.100
H | Everton | 0.375 | 0.532 | ▲ 0.157
A | Liverpool | 0.375 | 0.473 | ▲ 0.098
P | Everton | 0.500 | 0.614 | ▲ 0.114
P | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.643 | ▲ 0.143
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.3 - 2.3
Everton : 30% (▼ 6%)
29% (▲ 7%)
Liverpool : 41% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 30%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 20%
AWAY : 50%

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