Bournemouth

2 - 3

Arsenal

Sat, Jan 3, 2026 17:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 0%
Away: 63%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 4.17 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 23%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Bournemouth (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
11%
AWAY : 39%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
14%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Bournemouth : 20% (▼ 3%)
29% (▲ 5%)
Arsenal : 52% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 5.9 - 4.6 - 1.5
Bournemouth : 16% (▼ 7%)
21% (▼ 3%)
Arsenal : 64% (▲ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 20%
AWAY : 60%

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