Auxerre

0 - 0

Lyon

Sun, Nov 23, 2025 14:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 17%
D: 33%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 5.00 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 27%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Auxerre (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 22% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 22%
33%
AWAY : 45%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
43%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 32% (▲ 5%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Lyon : 45% (▼ 8%)


Average Odds : 3.8 - 3.5 - 2.0
Auxerre : 25% (▼ 2%)
28% (▲ 8%)
Lyon : 48% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 30%
AWAY : 40%

Awayteam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

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