Toulouse

1 - 1

Paris

Toulouse's unbeaten stretch at home hits 3 games. Meanwhile, Paris FC unbeaten stretch on the road hits 3 games.

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 3.13 - 3.23)
HOMETEAM: 37%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 31%

Toulouse (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Paris (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 37%
30%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 57%
30%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Toulouse : 48% (▲ 11%)
24% (▼ 8%)
Paris : 28% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 0.9 (Model B.3)
Toulouse : 47% (▲ 10%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Paris : 30% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 66.7%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.4 - 4.3
Toulouse : 50% (▲ 13%)
28% (▼ 4%)
Paris : 22% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 37%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

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