Toulouse

2 - 2

Monaco

Monaco Can’t Break Deadlock: 2 Consecutive Ties.

Sat, Apr 25, 2026 19:05 (UTC)


Facts

Toulouse :
Emersonn 90'
Jacen Russell-Rowe 61'
Monaco :
Lamine Camara 18'
Jordan Teze 6'
Malgré le BIJOU de Camara, Monaco PIÉTINE à Toulouse | 31ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 25%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 4.55 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 24%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Toulouse (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Monaco (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 0%
43%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Toulouse : 37% (▲ 13%)
20% (▼ 2%)
Monaco : 43% (▼ 11%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Toulouse | 0.333 | 0.492 | ▲ 0.159
T | Monaco | 0.500 | 0.547 | ▲ 0.047
H | Toulouse | 0.333 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.167
A | Monaco | 0.357 | 0.438 | ▲ 0.081
P | Toulouse | 0.333 | 0.326 | ▼ 0.007
P | Monaco | 0.667 | 0.592 | ▼ 0.075
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.4 - 3.7 - 2.1
Toulouse : 28% (▲ 4%)
26% (▲ 4%)
Monaco : 46% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 20%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 7%
D : 33%
AWAY : 60%

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