Promotion
Barcelona
0 - 2
AT Madrid
Wed, Apr 8, 2026 19:00 (UTC)
Facts
Barcelona :Pau Cubarsí 44' RED
AT Madrid :
Alexander Sørloth 70'
Julián Alvarez 45'
A: Matteo Ruggeri 70'
Last 10 games
Home vs Away
Away vs Home
Neutral
These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.
Barcelona (Fact Index 1.61): Expected Win % is 62%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.
AT Madrid (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.
Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.
Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.
The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Barcelona | 0.600 | 0.677 | ▲ 0.077
T | AT Madrid | 0.500 | 0.582 | ▲ 0.082
H | Barcelona | 1.000 | 0.850 | ▼ 0.150
A | AT Madrid | 0.167 | 0.381 | ▲ 0.214
P | Barcelona | 0.667 | 0.682 | ▲ 0.015
P | AT Madrid | 0.333 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.259
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.1 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)
Average Odds : 1.5 - 5.0 - 5.1
Odds Trend:
Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:
Last 3:
Copa del Rey 2026-04-18 AT Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Champions League 2026-04-14 AT Madrid 1 - 2 Barcelona
LaLiga 2026-04-11 Sevilla 2 - 1 AT Madrid
Next 3:
LaLiga 2026-04-22 Elche - AT Madrid
LaLiga 2026-04-25 AT Madrid - Ath Bilbao
Champions League 2026-04-29 AT Madrid - Arsenal
Last 20 games
HOME :
AWAY :