Lille

1 - 4

Strasbourg

Sun, Jan 25, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 10%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 6.25 - 2.94)
HOMETEAM: 50%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 34%

Lille (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 55% actual win rate for identical index values.

Strasbourg (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 9% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 55%
36%
AWAY : 9%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
40%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Lille : 59% (▲ 9%)
19% (▲ 3%)
Strasbourg : 23% (▼ 11%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.7 - 3.7
Lille : 48% (▼ 2%)
26% (▲ 10%)
Strasbourg : 26% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%

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