Al Qadslah

3 - 2

Al Ahli SC

Refusing to Yield: Al Qadslah’s 17-match unbeaten run.

Fri, Mar 13, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Al Qadslah :
Ibrahim Mahnashi 90' +8
Turki Al-Ammar 90' +2
Musab Al Juwayr 63'
Al Ahli SC :
Valentin Atangana Edoa 42'
Ivan Toney 27'
Al Qadsiah complete INCREDIBLE comeback from 2-0 down vs. Al Ahli! Title race: 🔛| Powered by Toyota
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 4.00 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 35%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Al Qadslah (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Al Ahli SC (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
25%
AWAY : 35%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
21%
Underdog : 29%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Al Qadslah : 34% (▼ 1%)
21% (▼ 4%)
Al Ahli SC : 45% (▲ 5%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Al Qadslah | 0.680 | 0.773 | ▲ 0.093
T | Al Ahli SC | 0.760 | 0.811 | ▲ 0.051
H | Al Qadslah | 0.615 | 0.848 | ▲ 0.233
A | Al Ahli SC | 0.750 | 0.868 | ▲ 0.118
P | Al Qadslah | 0.667 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.140
P | Al Ahli SC | 1.000 | 0.858 | ▼ 0.142
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.3 - 2.6
Al Qadslah : 37% (▲ 2%)
28% (▲ 3%)
Al Ahli SC : 35% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 40%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 40%
AWAY : 30%

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