PSG

3 - 0

Metz

PSG Home Guardians: 12-Match Unbeaten Streak. However, Metz road woes intensify with a 3rd straight away loss.

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 20:05 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.52 - 5.26 - 6.67)
HOMETEAM: 66%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 15%

PSG (Fact Index 1.52): Expected Win % is 66%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Metz (Fact Index 6.67): Expected Win % is 15%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
PSG : 73% (▲ 7%)
16% (▼ 3%)
Metz : 11% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.4 - 0.9 (Model B.3)
PSG : 71% (▲ 5%)
18% (▼ 1%)
Metz : 11% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 71.4)


Average Odds : 1.1 - 10.1 - 17.4
PSG : 84% (▲ 18%)
10% (▼ 9%)
Metz : 6% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.1 Trend:

HOME : 97%
D : 3%
AWAY : 0%

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