Liverpool

1 - 1

Chelsea

Unbeaten at Home: Liverpool's Run Hits 5.

Sat, May 9, 2026 11:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 50%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 7.14 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 49%
14%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Liverpool (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chelsea (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
30%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 37%
38%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 55% (▲ 6%)
17% (▲ 3%)
Chelsea : 28% (▼ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Liverpool | 0.486 | 0.573 | ▲ 0.087
T | Chelsea | 0.371 | 0.538 | ▲ 0.167
H | Liverpool | 0.588 | 0.679 | ▲ 0.091
A | Chelsea | 0.412 | 0.572 | ▲ 0.160
P | Liverpool | 0.500 | 0.602 | ▲ 0.102
P | Chelsea | 0.000 | 0.031 | ▲ 0.031
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 4.0 - 3.8
Liverpool : 51% (▲ 2%)
24% (▲ 10%)
Chelsea : 25% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 37%
AWAY : 27%

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