Leeds

0 - 4

Arsenal

Sat, Jan 31, 2026 15:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 11%
Away: 89%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.88 - 3.57 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 17%
28%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Leeds (Fact Index 5.88): Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.82): Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 20%
20%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Leeds : 21% (▲ 4%)
39% (▲ 11%)
Arsenal : 40% (▼ 15%)


Average Odds : 6.3 - 4.3 - 1.5
Leeds : 15% (▼ 2%)
22% (▼ 6%)
Arsenal : 63% (▲ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 10%
D : 20%
AWAY : 70%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 20%
AWAY : 60%

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