Gimcheon Sangmu

1 - 1

Jeju Utd

Stalemate again as Gimcheon Sangmu and Jeju Utd tie for the 2nd consecutive match.

Sun, Jul 5, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 30%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 3.33 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 35%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Gimcheon Sangmu (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 25% in this event.

Jeju Utd (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Gimcheon Sangmu:
T : 0.133 (0.386 / ▼0.253)
H : 0.000 (0.243 / ▼0.243)
P : 0.333 (0.428 / ▼0.095)

Jeju Utd:
T : 0.333 (0.433 / ▼0.100)
A : 0.429 (0.550 / ▼0.121)
P : 0.333 (0.352 / ▼0.019)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
40%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
40%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Gimcheon Sangmu : 36% (▲ 1%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Jeju Utd : 36% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Gimcheon Sangmu : 44% (▲ 9%)
29% (▼ 1%)
Jeju Utd : 27% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.3 - 2.9
Gimcheon Sangmu : 40% (▲ 4%)
28% (▼ 2%)
Jeju Utd : 32% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 10 game(s)
HOME : 10%
D : 50%
AWAY : 40%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.4 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%


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