Cruzeiro

1 - 1

Fluminense

No Way Through: Cruzeiro go 4 matches unbeaten.

Sun, May 31, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 29%
D: 29%
Away: 43%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.27 - 4.17 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 44%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Weight: [Close] (26.32)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.68)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 2.27):
Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Fluminense (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.353 (0.448 / ▼0.095)
H : 0.444 (0.599 / ▼0.155)
P : 0.667 (0.629 / ▲0.038)

Fluminense:
T : 0.529 (0.566 / ▼0.037)
A : 0.250 (0.441 / ▼0.191)
P : 0.500 (0.500 / -)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
30%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 40% (▼ 4%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Fluminense : 35% (▲ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 51% (▲ 7%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Fluminense : 24% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.3 - 3.5
Cruzeiro : 45% (▲ 1%)
28% (▲ 4%)
Fluminense : 27% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 20%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (45%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 2.1 (45%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 46%
D : 27%
AWAY : 27%


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