Paris

1 - 0

Nice

Fortress Paris FC: 2-match unbeaten streak. Conversely, Nice Road Trip Hell: 2nd Straight Away Loss.

Sun, Mar 1, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

Score Line :
1-0, 0-0
Paris :
Thibault De Smet 90' +5 RED
Marshall Munetsi 26'

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 2.78 - 3.45)
HOMETEAM: 35%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 29%

Paris (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nice (Fact Index 3.45): Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
30%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 54%
38%
Underdog : 8%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Paris : 38% (▲ 3%)
27% (▼ 9%)
Nice : 35% (▲ 6%)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.3 - 3.0
Paris : 39% (▲ 4%)
29% (▼ 7%)
Nice : 32% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 27%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 36%
AWAY : 37%

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