Toulouse

5 - 1

Nice

Sat, Jan 17, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 50%
Away: 13%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 3.23 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 47%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Toulouse (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nice (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 60%
20%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Toulouse : 49% (▲ 2%)
32% (▲ 1%)
Nice : 20% (▼ 3%)


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.6 - 3.9
Toulouse : 49% (▲ 2%)
26% (▼ 5%)
Nice : 24% (▲ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 23%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.9 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 23%
AWAY : 30%

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