Lazio

0 - 3

Inter

Lazio’s struggle continues: 2 straight losses to Inter. However, Steel and Grit: 8 fixtures undefeated for Inter.

Sat, May 9, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 10%
D: 20%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.00 - 3.33 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 20%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Lazio (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Inter (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 20%
30%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 45%
33%
Underdog : 22%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Lazio : 18% (▼ 2%)
23% (▼ 7%)
Inter : 59% (▲ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Lazio | 0.371 | 0.544 | ▲ 0.173
T | Inter | 0.743 | 0.780 | ▲ 0.037
H | Lazio | 0.412 | 0.556 | ▲ 0.144
A | Inter | 0.706 | 0.719 | ▲ 0.013
P | Lazio | 0.500 | 0.660 | ▲ 0.160
P | Inter | 0.667 | 0.727 | ▲ 0.060
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 2.1 (Model B.4)
Lazio : 20% (-)
23% (▼ 7%)
Inter : 57% (▲ 7%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 4.5 - 3.7 - 1.8
Lazio : 21% (▲ 1%)
26% (▼ 4%)
Inter : 53% (▲ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 23%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 13%
AWAY : 57%

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