Puebla

3 - 2

Santos Laguna

Milestone: Puebla hit 3 matches without a loss. Meanwhile, Santos Laguna struggling to perform on the road, losing 6 consecutive games.

Sun, Aug 23, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 56%
D: 0%
Away: 44%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.61 - 6.67 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 62%
15%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Weight: [Distant] (70.59)
Intensity: [Tilted] (29.41)

Puebla (Fact Index 1.61):
Expected Win % is 62%, compared to a 83% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Santos Laguna (Fact Index 4.35):
Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Puebla:
T : 0.500 (0.559 / ▼0.059)
P : 0.500 (0.559 / ▼0.059)

Santos Laguna:
T : 0.000 (0.142 / ▼0.142)
P : 0.000 (0.142 / ▼0.142)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 83%
0%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 83%
0%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 0.9 (Model A.)
Puebla : 58% (▼ 4%)
20% (▲ 5%)
Santos Laguna : 22% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.9 (Model B.4)
Puebla : 46% (▼ 16%)
23% (▲ 8%)
Santos Laguna : 31% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.6 - 3.2
Puebla : 46% (▼ 16%)
25% (▲ 10%)
Santos Laguna : 29% (▲ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 23%
AWAY : 23%


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