Atl. San Luis

0 - 3

Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas Extension: Atl. San Luis Slump Reaches 3 Games. Meanwhile, Impressive: Guadalajara Chivas reach 6 matches undefeated.

Sat, Sep 5, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 11%
Away: 56%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.76 - 2.63 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 21%
38%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (47.06)
Intensity: [Moderate] (52.94)

Atl. San Luis (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 59% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Guadalajara Chivas (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atl. San Luis:
T : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)
P : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)

Guadalajara Chivas:
T : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)
P : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 12 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 59%
8%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 11 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 64%
9%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Atl. San Luis : 27% (▲ 6%)
33% (▼ 5%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 40% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Atl. San Luis : 38% (▲ 17%)
23% (▼ 15%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 39% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 4.1 - 3.8 - 1.8
Atl. San Luis : 23% (▲ 2%)
25% (▼ 13%)
Guadalajara Chivas : 53% (▲ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 42%
D : 8%
AWAY : 50%


Football

Odds Trend: 11 game(s)

HOME : 18%
D : 36%
AWAY : 46%

Based on Away team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 7%
D : 33%
AWAY : 60%


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