Fluminense

1 - 2

Flamengo RJ

Flamengo RJ on Fire: 2-Game Winning Streak.

Sun, Apr 12, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 22%
Away: 44%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 8.33 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 51%
12%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Fluminense (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 56% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fluminense:
T : 0.600 (0.638 / ▼0.038)
H : 1.000 (0.767 / ▲0.233)
P : 0.667 (0.668 / ▼0.001)

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.556 (0.679 / ▼0.123)
A : 0.400 (0.500 / ▼0.100)
P : 0.667 (0.757 / ▼0.090)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 56%
13%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 13 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 54%
15%
Underdog : 31%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Fluminense : 44% (▼ 7%)
19% (▲ 7%)
Flamengo RJ : 37% (-)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Fluminense : 38% (▼ 13%)
25% (▲ 13%)
Flamengo RJ : 37% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.0 - 2.4
Fluminense : 29% (▼ 22%)
31% (▲ 19%)
Flamengo RJ : 40% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 20%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 53%
AWAY : 30%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 23%
AWAY : 44%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%


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