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Weight: [Close] (15.79)

Intensity: [Extreme] (84.21)

Chapecoense (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Atletico MG (Fact Index 4.35):
Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.

Expected Win Percentage

Chapecoense:
T : 0.143 (0.435 / ▼0.292)
H : 0.250 (0.592 / ▼0.342)
P : 0.000 (0.318 / ▼0.318)

Atletico MG:
T : 0.250 (0.398 / ▼0.148)
A : 0.000 (0.089 / ▼0.089)
P : 0.333 (0.408 / ▼0.075)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 10 Game(s) In real-time

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) in Average Odds

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.1 (Model B.4)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance

Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.3 - 2.4

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance

Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

Based on Away team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 21 game(s)

Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

Based on Away team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

Last 3:
Brasileirão Betano 2026-07-25 Santos 2 - 2 Chapecoense
Brasileirão Betano 2026-07-23 Chapecoense 0 - 4 Flamengo RJ
Brasileirão Betano 2026-07-17 Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense

Next 3:
Brasileirão Betano 2026-08-08 Coritiba - Chapecoense
Brasileirão Betano 2026-08-16 Chapecoense - Bahia

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :

Last 3:
Brasileirão Betano 2026-07-26 Palmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico MG
Brasileirão Betano 2026-07-21 Atletico MG 1 - 1 Bahia
Brasileirão Betano 2026-05-31 Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico MG

Next 3:
Brasileirão Betano 2026-08-08 Remo - Atletico MG
Copa Sudamericana 2026-08-12 Bragantino - Atletico MG
Brasileirão Betano 2026-08-15 Atletico MG - Gremio

Last 20 games

HOME :

AWAY :