Lens

3 - 1

Rennes

Sat, Feb 7, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 3.70 - 5.26)
HOMETEAM: 54%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 19%

Lens (Fact Index 1.85): Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 75% actual win rate for identical index values.

Rennes (Fact Index 5.26): Expected Win % is 19%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 75%
8%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 72%
14%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 0.5 (Model A.)
Lens : 65% (▲ 11%)
26% (▼ 1%)
Rennes : 10% (▼ 9%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.8 - 4.5
Lens : 54% (-)
25% (▼ 2%)
Rennes : 21% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 37%
AWAY : 27%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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