Promotion

Freiburg

3 - 0

Celta Vigo

Freiburg remains rock solid in their last 10 home fixtures.

Thu, Apr 9, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Freiburg :
Matthias Ginter 78' (J. Beste)
Jan-Niklas Beste 32' (Igor Matanović)
Vincenzo Grifo 10' (J. Manzambi)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 4.55 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 40%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Freiburg (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Celta Vigo (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 47%
30%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 42%
32%
Underdog : 26%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Freiburg : 48% (▲ 8%)
20% (▼ 2%)
Celta Vigo : 32% (▼ 6%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Freiburg | 0.600 | 0.767 | ▲ 0.167
T | Celta Vigo | 0.583 | 0.651 | ▲ 0.068
H | Freiburg | 1.000 | 0.902 | ▼ 0.098
A | Celta Vigo | 0.500 | 0.643 | ▲ 0.143
P | Freiburg | 0.500 | 0.751 | ▲ 0.251
P | Celta Vigo | 0.667 | 0.742 | ▲ 0.075
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.3 - 3.3 - 3.2
Freiburg : 41% (▲ 1%)
29% (▲ 7%)
Celta Vigo : 30% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 50%
AWAY : 10%

Hometeam = 2.3 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

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