Atlante

1 - 1

León

Points Shared Again: Atlante Draw 3rd Consecutive Home Match. Meanwhile, Tactical Masterclass: León reach 4 without dropping all points.

Sat, Aug 29, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 3.70 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 32%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (35.29)
Intensity: [Fierce] (64.71)

Atlante (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

León (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlante:
T : 0.200 (0.392 / ▼0.192)
P : 0.200 (0.392 / ▼0.192)

León:
T : 0.600 (0.608 / ▼0.008)
P : 0.600 (0.608 / ▼0.008)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
20%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 43%
20%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.8 (Model A.)
Atlante : 39% (▲ 7%)
25% (▼ 2%)
León : 36% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Atlante : 46% (▲ 14%)
23% (▼ 4%)
León : 31% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 47.6%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.6 - 3.3 - 2.5
Atlante : 35% (▲ 3%)
28% (▲ 1%)
León : 37% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 75%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Away team = 2.5 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 33%
AWAY : 40%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 40%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.5 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 40%
AWAY : 23%


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