Palermo

5 - 2

Mantova

Palermo remains rock solid in their last 3 home fixtures.

Thu, Sep 3, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 100%
D: 0%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 2.94 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 33%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Palermo (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Mantova (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 10% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

No Home team data available.

No Away team data available.


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
23%
AWAY : 10%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
23%
Underdog : 10%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
27%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
27%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.2 (Model A.)
Palermo : 39% (▲ 6%)
29% (▼ 5%)
Mantova : 32% (▼ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Palermo : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▼ 11%)
Mantova : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 14.3%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.9 - 4.8
Palermo : 57% (▲ 24%)
24% (▼ 10%)
Mantova : 19% (▼ 14%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (57%) Trend: 6 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 50%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 33%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%


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