Brentford

1 - 1

Arsenal

Thu, Feb 12, 2026 20:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 30%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.33 - 5.00 - 1.96)
HOMETEAM: 30%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 51%

Brentford (Fact Index 3.33): Expected Win % is 30%, compared to a 34% actual win rate for identical index values.

Arsenal (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Brentford : 33% (▲ 3%)
23% (▲ 3%)
Arsenal : 44% (▼ 7%)


Average Odds : 5.0 - 4.0 - 1.7
Brentford : 19% (▼ 11%)
24% (▲ 4%)
Arsenal : 57% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 30%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

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