Promotion

Mainz

2 - 0

Strasbourg

Unbeaten at Home: Mainz's Run Hits 6.

Thu, Apr 9, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

Mainz :
Stefan Posch 19' (P. Nebel)
Kaishu Sano 11' (S. Kawasaki)
이재성이 부상으로 빠졌지만 '후배들도 강한' 마인츠 #SPOTIME #UECL
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 4.76 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 35%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Mainz (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Strasbourg (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 46%
23%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 71%
29%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Mainz : 48% (▲ 13%)
20% (▼ 1%)
Strasbourg : 32% (▼ 12%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Mainz | 0.625 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.182
T | Strasbourg | 0.750 | 0.711 | ▼ 0.039
H | Mainz | 1.000 | 0.926 | ▼ 0.074
A | Strasbourg | 1.000 | 0.751 | ▼ 0.249
P | Mainz | 0.500 | 0.751 | ▲ 0.251
P | Strasbourg | 0.833 | 0.736 | ▼ 0.097
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.5 - 3.4
Mainz : 45% (▲ 10%)
27% (▲ 6%)
Strasbourg : 28% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 44%
D : 23%
AWAY : 33%

Hometeam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 30%
AWAY : 30%

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