Metz

0 - 0

Nantes

Metz Tie Loop: 2nd Straight Draw.

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 38%
Away: 13%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 4.76 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 37%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Metz (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nantes (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 52% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 24%
24%
AWAY : 52%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 46%
27%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Metz : 35% (▼ 2%)
19% (▼ 2%)
Nantes : 46% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Metz | 0.111 | 0.243 | ▲ 0.132
T | Nantes | 0.154 | 0.306 | ▲ 0.152
H | Metz | 0.154 | 0.323 | ▲ 0.169
A | Nantes | 0.167 | 0.303 | ▲ 0.136
P | Metz | 0.000 | 0.164 | ▲ 0.164
P | Nantes | 0.167 | 0.318 | ▲ 0.151
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.3 - 2.5
Metz : 33% (▼ 4%)
29% (▲ 8%)
Nantes : 38% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Awayteam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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