Botafogo RJ

0 - 3

Flamengo RJ

Botafogo RJ are stuck in a 3-game winless Rut. However, Momentum: 4 matches without a blemish for Flamengo RJ.

Sat, Mar 14, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 44%
D: 11%
Away: 44%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 3.85 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 39%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Weight: [Distant] (63.16)
Intensity: [Tilted] (36.84)

Botafogo RJ (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Flamengo RJ (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

No Home team data available.

Flamengo RJ:
T : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)
P : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
23%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
23%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Botafogo RJ : 44% (▲ 5%)
26% (-)
Flamengo RJ : 30% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.8 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Botafogo RJ : 26% (▼ 13%)
29% (▲ 3%)
Flamengo RJ : 45% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.7 - 3.4 - 2.0
Botafogo RJ : 25% (▼ 14%)
28% (▲ 2%)
Flamengo RJ : 47% (▲ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 11%
AWAY : 56%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 23%
D : 30%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (47%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 13%
AWAY : 60%


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