Newcastle

4 - 3

Leeds

Wed, Jan 7, 2026 20:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 25%
D: 50%
Away: 25%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.78 - 2.33 - 4.55)
HOMETEAM: 36%
43%
AWAYTEAM: 22%

Newcastle (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 100% actual win rate for identical index values.

Leeds (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Newcastle : 31% (▼ 5%)
47% (▲ 4%)
Leeds : 24% (▲ 2%)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.8 - 5.1
Newcastle : 56% (▲ 20%)
25% (▼ 18%)
Leeds : 19% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 27%
AWAY : 20%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 20%
AWAY : 33%

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