Manchester Utd

2 - 0

Manchester City

Sat, Jan 17, 2026 12:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 20%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.57 - 2.78 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 28%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 3.57): Expected Win % is 28%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Manchester City (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 23% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
27%
AWAY : 23%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 52%
22%
Underdog : 26%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Manchester Utd : 20% (▼ 8%)
29% (▼ 7%)
Manchester City : 52% (▲ 16%)


Average Odds : 3.5 - 3.9 - 2.0
Manchester Utd : 27% (▼ 1%)
25% (▼ 11%)
Manchester City : 48% (▲ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 24%
D : 12%
AWAY : 64%

Awayteam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 33%
AWAY : 44%

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