Hradec Kralove

2 - 1

Sparta Prague

Fortress: Hradec Kralove Wins 8th Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Losing Skid Hits 2 for Struggling Sparta Prague.

Sun, Sep 6, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 0%
Away: 67%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 7.69 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 37%
13%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Weight: [Close] (13.33)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.67)

Hradec Kralove (Fact Index 2.70):
Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Sparta Prague (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Hradec Kralove:
T : 0.400 (0.428 / ▼0.028)
P : 0.400 (0.428 / ▼0.028)

Sparta Prague:
T : 0.500 (0.559 / ▼0.059)
P : 0.500 (0.559 / ▼0.059)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 12 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 42%
25%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 9 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 45%
22%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.1 (Model A.)
Hradec Kralove : 43% (▲ 6%)
19% (▲ 6%)
Sparta Prague : 38% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Hradec Kralove : 26% (▼ 11%)
24% (▲ 11%)
Sparta Prague : 50% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.2 - 3.4 - 2.1
Hradec Kralove : 29% (▼ 8%)
27% (▲ 14%)
Sparta Prague : 44% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 4 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 50%
AWAY : 25%

Based on Away team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 9 game(s)

HOME : 11%
D : 45%
AWAY : 44%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 13%
D : 47%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.1 (44%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 33%
AWAY : 37%


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