Fukuoka

2 - 3

Urawa Reds

Fukuoka Form has dropped with a 3-match slump. Conversely, Urawa Reds on Fire: 2-Game Winning Streak.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 10:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 5.88 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 50%
17%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Weight: [Adjacent] (0.00)
Intensity: [Extreme] (100.00)

Fukuoka (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Urawa Reds (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fukuoka:
T : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.250 (0.500 / ▼0.250)

Urawa Reds:
T : 0.250 (0.347 / ▼0.097)
P : 0.250 (0.347 / ▼0.097)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
17%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
23%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Fukuoka : 46% (▼ 4%)
23% (▲ 6%)
Urawa Reds : 31% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Fukuoka : 46% (▼ 4%)
23% (▲ 6%)
Urawa Reds : 31% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 52.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.2 - 3.0
Fukuoka : 39% (▼ 11%)
30% (▲ 13%)
Urawa Reds : 32% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 20%
AWAY : 40%


Football

Odds Trend: 21 game(s)

HOME : 29%
D : 24%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 2.4 (39%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 36%
AWAY : 37%


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