Dortmund

3 - 2

Frankfurt

Fortress: Dortmund Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Conversely, Frankfurt Reeling: 2nd Consecutive Loss.

Fri, May 8, 2026 18:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 30%
Away: 10%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 3.23 - 3.85)
HOMETEAM: 43%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 26%

Dortmund (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 64% actual win rate for identical index values.

Frankfurt (Fact Index 3.85): Expected Win % is 26%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 64%
23%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
23%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Dortmund : 58% (▲ 15%)
24% (▼ 7%)
Frankfurt : 18% (▼ 8%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Dortmund | 0.625 | 0.715 | ▲ 0.090
T | Frankfurt | 0.344 | 0.483 | ▲ 0.139
H | Dortmund | 0.750 | 0.780 | ▲ 0.030
A | Frankfurt | 0.250 | 0.450 | ▲ 0.200
P | Dortmund | 0.500 | 0.660 | ▲ 0.160
P | Frankfurt | 0.167 | 0.398 | ▲ 0.231
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 4.5 - 4.6
Dortmund : 58% (▲ 15%)
21% (▼ 10%)
Frankfurt : 21% (▼ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 46%
D : 36%
AWAY : 18%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 20%
AWAY : 37%

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