Lorient

1 - 1

Toulouse

Sun, Nov 9, 2025 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 60%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 2.86 - 2.38)
HOMETEAM: 24%
35%
AWAYTEAM: 42%

Lorient (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Toulouse (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 25%
50%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Lorient : 29% (▲ 5%)
34% (▼ 1%)
Toulouse : 38% (▼ 4%)


Average Odds : 3.1 - 3.3 - 2.4
Lorient : 31% (▲ 7%)
29% (▼ 6%)
Toulouse : 40% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%

Awayteam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 30%
D : 27%
AWAY : 43%

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