Manchester City

1 - 1

Brighton

Wed, Jan 7, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 30%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.04 - 3.33 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 49%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Manchester City (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brighton (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
24%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Manchester City : 66% (▲ 17%)
24% (▼ 6%)
Brighton : 11% (▼ 10%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.2 - 7.2
Manchester City : 68% (▲ 19%)
18% (▼ 12%)
Brighton : 13% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 92%
D : 8%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 20%
AWAY : 10%

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