Plzen

2 - 3

Sigma Olomouc

Sigma Olomouc are riding a wave of 2 consecutive wins.

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 0%
Away: 33%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 3.85 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 42%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (33.33)
Intensity: [Fierce] (66.67)

Plzen (Fact Index 2.38):
Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Sigma Olomouc (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Plzen:
T : 0.286 (0.550 / ▼0.264)
H : 0.250 (0.450 / ▼0.200)
P : 0.333 (0.617 / ▼0.284)

Sigma Olomouc:
T : 0.571 (0.653 / ▼0.082)
A : 0.500 (0.500 / -)
P : 0.667 (0.711 / ▼0.044)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
20%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
27%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.8 - 1.3 (Model A.)
Plzen : 45% (▲ 3%)
27% (▲ 1%)
Sigma Olomouc : 28% (▼ 4%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.2 (Model B.4)
Plzen : 44% (▲ 2%)
30% (▲ 4%)
Sigma Olomouc : 26% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.8 - 4.5
Plzen : 55% (▲ 13%)
24% (▼ 2%)
Sigma Olomouc : 20% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 6 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 33%
AWAY : 50%


Football

Odds Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 58%
D : 19%
AWAY : 23%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 30%
AWAY : 23%


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