Athletico PR

0 - 0

Gremio

6 Unbeaten for Athletico PR in Front of Home Fans. However, Resilient Gremio: 2 matches, zero defeats.

Sat, May 2, 2026 23:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 4.76 - 3.70)
HOMETEAM: 52%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 27%

Weight: [Close] (26.32)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.68)

Athletico PR (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 65% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 67% in this event.

Gremio (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Athletico PR:
T : 0.538 (0.592 / ▼0.054)
H : 0.857 (0.807 / ▲0.050)
P : 0.500 (0.572 / ▼0.072)

Gremio:
T : 0.308 (0.479 / ▼0.171)
A : 0.000 (0.212 / ▼0.212)
P : 0.167 (0.289 / ▼0.122)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 67%
33%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 67%
33%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 65%
22%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
23%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Athletico PR : 55% (▲ 3%)
21% (-)
Gremio : 24% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Athletico PR : 46% (▼ 6%)
23% (▲ 2%)
Gremio : 31% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 61.9%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.5 - 4.2
Athletico PR : 51% (▼ 1%)
27% (▲ 6%)
Gremio : 22% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 11 game(s)

HOME : 55%
D : 36%
AWAY : 9%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 40%
AWAY : 10%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%


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