Fluminense

1 - 1

Bragantino

4 Unbeaten for Fluminense in Front of Home Fans. Conversely, Refusing to Yield: Bragantino’s 4-match unbeaten run.

Fri, Jul 17, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 25%
Away: 25%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 9.09 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 51%
11%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Weight: [Close] (10.53)
Intensity: [Extreme] (89.47)

Fluminense (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Bragantino (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fluminense:
T : 0.500 (0.564 / ▼0.064)
H : 0.778 (0.666 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.222 (0.446 / ▼0.224)
P : 0.333 (0.457 / ▼0.124)

Bragantino:
T : 0.500 (0.588 / ▼0.088)
H : 0.556 (0.679 / ▼0.123)
A : 0.444 (0.466 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.667 (0.711 / ▼0.044)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 29%
29%
AWAY : 42%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 33%
67%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Fluminense : 49% (▼ 2%)
23% (▲ 12%)
Bragantino : 28% (▼ 10%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Fluminense : 27% (▼ 24%)
26% (▲ 15%)
Bragantino : 47% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 3.3 - 4.1
Fluminense : 49% (▼ 2%)
28% (▲ 17%)
Bragantino : 23% (▼ 15%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 12 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 41%
AWAY : 42%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 27%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 37%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (49%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 27%
AWAY : 10%


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