Necaxa

1 - 3

Cruz Azul

Necaxa Skid vs Cruz Azul 2 Games.

Sat, Aug 29, 2026 01:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 22%
D: 11%
Away: 67%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 5.00 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 33%
20%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Close] (11.76)
Intensity: [Extreme] (88.24)

Necaxa (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Cruz Azul (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Necaxa:
T : 0.400 (0.500 / ▼0.100)
P : 0.400 (0.457 / ▼0.057)

Cruz Azul:
T : 0.400 (0.428 / ▼0.028)
P : 0.400 (0.428 / ▼0.028)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 28 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 29%
21%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 15 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
33%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Necaxa : 31% (▼ 2%)
24% (▲ 4%)
Cruz Azul : 45% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 2.1 (Model B.4)
Necaxa : 16% (▼ 17%)
31% (▲ 11%)
Cruz Azul : 53% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.4 - 3.5 - 2.0
Necaxa : 28% (▼ 5%)
26% (▲ 6%)
Cruz Azul : 46% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 0%
AWAY : 67%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 22%
D : 33%
AWAY : 45%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 17%
AWAY : 46%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 47%
AWAY : 23%


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