Albirex Niigata

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Tokushima V

Albirex Niigata Proves Impossible to Beat on Their Own Turf. Conversely, Losing Skid Hits 2 for Struggling Tokushima V.

Wed, May 6, 2026 05:00 (UTC)


Facts

Albirex Niigata :
Kazuyoshi Shimabuku 23'
Tokushima V :
-
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.70 - 4.35 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 37%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Albirex Niigata (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Tokushima V (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 18% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 46%
36%
AWAY : 18%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 36%
50%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Albirex Niigata : 27% (▼ 10%)
20% (▼ 3%)
Tokushima V : 53% (▲ 13%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Albirex Niigata | 0.429 | 0.522 | ▲ 0.093
T | Tokushima V | 0.643 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.068
H | Albirex Niigata | 0.500 | 0.592 | ▲ 0.092
A | Tokushima V | 0.571 | 0.827 | ▲ 0.256
P | Albirex Niigata | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
P | Tokushima V | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.0 - 2.4
Albirex Niigata : 31% (▼ 6%)
30% (▲ 7%)
Tokushima V : 39% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 27%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 2.4 Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 30%
AWAY : 50%

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