Vasco

3 - 2

Fluminense

3-Match Unbeaten Streak for Vasco.

Thu, Mar 19, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 57%
D: 14%
Away: 29%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 4.76 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 29%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Weight: [Distant] (63.16)
Intensity: [Tilted] (36.84)

Vasco (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 48% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Fluminense (Fact Index 2.00):
Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 38% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Vasco:
T : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)
P : 0.167 (0.428 / ▼0.261)

Fluminense:
T : 0.667 (0.660 / ▲0.007)
P : 0.667 (0.660 / ▲0.007)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 29 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 48%
14%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 25 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
16%
Underdog : 24%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Vasco : 43% (▲ 14%)
19% (▼ 2%)
Fluminense : 38% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Vasco : 27% (▼ 2%)
33% (▲ 12%)
Fluminense : 40% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.1 - 2.6
Vasco : 33% (▲ 4%)
30% (▲ 9%)
Fluminense : 37% (▼ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 21%
D : 50%
AWAY : 29%

Based on Away team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 27%
D : 40%
AWAY : 33%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 23%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Away team = 2.6 (37%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 27%
AWAY : 53%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy