PromotionNeutral venue

China U23

2 - 2

Penalty shootout (4 - 3)

Uzbekistan U23

China U23-Uzbekistan U23 Deadlock: 2nd Consecutive Draw. However, Uzbekistan U23: Unbeaten run extended to 7 fixtures.

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 06:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 100%
Away: 0%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.35 - 3.23 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 23%
31%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Close] (23.08)
Intensity: [Fierce] (76.92)

China U23 (Fact Index 4.35):
Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Uzbekistan U23 (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 35% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

China U23:
T : 0.400 (0.711 / ▼0.311)
A : 0.400 (0.711 / ▼0.311)
P : 0.400 (0.711 / ▼0.311)

Uzbekistan U23:
T : 0.800 (0.919 / ▼0.119)
A : 0.800 (0.919 / ▼0.119)
P : 0.800 (0.919 / ▼0.119)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
25%
AWAY : 35%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
31%
Underdog : 19%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.5 (Model A.)
China U23 : 23% (-)
29% (▼ 2%)
Uzbekistan U23 : 48% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.7 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
China U23 : 35% (▲ 12%)
30% (▼ 1%)
Uzbekistan U23 : 35% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 57.1%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 4.8 - 3.4 - 1.7
China U23 : 19% (▼ 4%)
27% (▼ 4%)
Uzbekistan U23 : 54% (▲ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (54%) Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 50%
AWAY : 50%


Football

Odds Trend: 14 game(s)

HOME : 7%
D : 29%
AWAY : 64%

Based on Away team = 1.7 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 23%
D : 37%
AWAY : 40%


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