Lille

1 - 1

Brest

Sat, Feb 14, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 50%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 4.00 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 42%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Lille (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brest (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
37%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
30%
Underdog : 23%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Lille : 58% (▲ 16%)
21% (▼ 4%)
Brest : 21% (▼ 12%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.9 (Model B.3)
Lille : 37% (▼ 5%)
20% (▼ 5%)
Brest : 43% (▲ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: v B.3 / 85.7)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.9 - 4.6
Lille : 54% (▲ 12%)
25% (-)
Brest : 21% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 40%
AWAY : 23%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

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