Shimizu S-pulse

1 - 1

Tokyo

Stalemate again as Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo tie for the 2nd consecutive match. Conversely, Solid: FC Tokyo haven't dropped all points in 4 outings.

Wed, Sep 2, 2026 10:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 33%
D: 22%
Away: 44%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.45 - 4.17 - 2.13)
HOMETEAM: 29%
24%
AWAYTEAM: 47%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (52.63)
Intensity: [Moderate] (47.37)

Shimizu S-pulse (Fact Index 3.45):
Expected Win % is 29%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Tokyo (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Shimizu S-pulse:
T : 0.250 (0.193 / ▲0.057)
P : 0.250 (0.193 / ▲0.057)

Tokyo:
T : 0.500 (0.543 / ▼0.043)
P : 0.500 (0.543 / ▼0.043)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 6 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 34%
33%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 27%
40%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 24 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 59%
33%
Underdog : 8%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Shimizu S-pulse : 27% (▼ 2%)
25% (▲ 1%)
Tokyo : 48% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Shimizu S-pulse : 46% (▲ 17%)
23% (▼ 1%)
Tokyo : 31% (▼ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 52.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 3.6 - 3.4 - 2.0
Shimizu S-pulse : 26% (▼ 3%)
28% (▲ 4%)
Tokyo : 46% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 34%
D : 33%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 18 game(s)

HOME : 22%
D : 33%
AWAY : 45%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 37%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Away team = 2.0 (46%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 30%
D : 47%
AWAY : 23%


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