Ostrava

1 - 2

Pardubice

Ostrava Stuck in 3 Competition Slump. Meanwhile, Steel and Grit: 2 fixtures undefeated for FK Pardubice.

Sun, Sep 13, 2026 11:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.56 - 9.09 - 4.00)
HOMETEAM: 64%
11%
AWAYTEAM: 25%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (33.33)
Intensity: [Fierce] (66.67)

Ostrava (Fact Index 1.56):
Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 75% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Pardubice (Fact Index 4.00):
Expected Win % is 25%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Ostrava:
T : 0.429 (0.178 / ▲0.251)
A : 0.250 (0.124 / ▲0.126)
P : 0.333 (0.129 / ▲0.204)

Pardubice:
T : 0.000 (0.243 / ▼0.243)
A : 0.000 (0.249 / ▼0.249)
P : 0.000 (0.233 / ▼0.233)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 75%
0%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 4 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 75%
0%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.1 (Model A.)
Ostrava : 54% (▼ 10%)
19% (▲ 8%)
Pardubice : 27% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.2 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Ostrava : 33% (▼ 31%)
23% (▲ 12%)
Pardubice : 44% (▲ 19%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.4 - 3.3
Ostrava : 45% (▼ 19%)
27% (▲ 16%)
Pardubice : 28% (▲ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 20%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (45%) Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 44%
D : 25%
AWAY : 31%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.0 (45%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%


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