Santos

2 - 0

Bragantino

Momentum: 3 matches without a blemish for Santos FC.

Sun, May 10, 2026 21:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 29%
D: 29%
Away: 43%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 4.00 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 35%
25%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (47.37)
Intensity: [Moderate] (52.63)

Santos (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 41% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Bragantino (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 32% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Santos:
T : 0.214 (0.452 / ▼0.238)
H : 0.429 (0.572 / ▼0.143)
P : 0.333 (0.500 / ▼0.167)

Bragantino:
T : 0.429 (0.520 / ▼0.091)
A : 0.429 (0.408 / ▲0.021)
P : 0.667 (0.687 / ▼0.020)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
50%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 22 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 41%
27%
AWAY : 32%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Santos : 37% (▲ 2%)
25% (-)
Bragantino : 38% (▼ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Santos : 31% (▼ 4%)
28% (▲ 3%)
Bragantino : 41% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.4 - 3.1
Santos : 42% (▲ 7%)
28% (▲ 3%)
Bragantino : 30% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 33%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 20%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 30%
AWAY : 27%


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